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# Weekly Market News: The Full Breakdown
- URL: https://etf-alert.ghost.io/weekly-market-news-the-full-breakdown/
- Published: 2025-09-12T20:40:30.000Z
- Updated: 2026-07-29T11:17:24.000Z
- Description: Get ahead of the market insights
- Author: Etf Alert
- Tags: Energy, ETF Market, Defense, OPEC+, Apple, Oil, Charlie Kirk, ETFs, 2025, Outlook, Tesla, Global Economy, Expert Analysis, Crude Oil, Elon Musk, Newsletter, #Migrated-1785323302135, #Import 2026-07-29 11:14

## The Defense Spending Supercycle

Global military spending just hit **$2.7 trillion**, the steepest jump since the Cold War.

European defense budgets alone are projected to grow **6.8% annually through 2035**, dramatically outpacing U.S. growth at 1.7%.

Germany just allocated **$110 billion** for defense in 2025, making it the world's fourth-largest military spender. The EU's massive €800 billion ReArm Europe Plan is prioritizing next-generation warfare: AI systems, autonomous drones, and space-based defense platforms.

**The numbers speak for themselves.** The SPADE Defense Index has surged **90% in 2025** vs just 40% for the broader market

[![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/24/9d/249db85d-ffc7-4113-b57b-0505d666fa1d/content/images/2026/07/17bef2c4-4b59-45b0-9dca-0b73bdfb0e3b_2400x1600.png)](https://etfalert.substack.com/)

Defense Sector Performance Analysis: Key Financial Metrics and 1-Year Returns for Major Defense Contractors

Major defense ETFs are delivering exceptional returns:

- **SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR)**: +44% returns
- **iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)**: +38% with just 0.38% expense ratio
- **Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA)**: +34% with broader diversification

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## Tesla’s Future

**Tesla's board just proposed history's largest pay package**, **$1 trillion** for Elon Musk on achieving an $8.5 trillion market cap by 2035.

The goals are ambitious: 20 million vehicles delivered, 1 million robotaxis deployed, and $400 billion in quarterly EBITDA.

This signals Tesla's transformation from automaker to **AI powerhouse.**

If shareholders approve this **November 6th**, it represents unwavering confidence in Musk's vision for autonomous systems and artificial intelligence.

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## Apple September 9 Event

Meanwhile, Apple's iPhone 17 launch reveals a more cautious approach

Tesla

The ultra-thin **iPhone 17 Air** suggests Apple is managing a maturing smartphone market rather than driving revolutionary change.

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## Energy Markets Face Strategic Disruption

**OPEC+ just fundamentally altered its strategy**, choosing market share over price defense for the first time in decades.

They will increase production by **137,000 barrels daily starting in October,** the first phase of a massive 1.65 million barrel increase.

This pivot reflects growing internal fractures. Saudi Arabia and the UAE are betting that short-term revenue pain will secure long-term dominance as global oil demand growth slows

[![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/24/9d/249db85d-ffc7-4113-b57b-0505d666fa1d/content/images/2026/07/2a3089c8-b25e-4732-83e8-a1b2104cb01d_1420x1032.png)](https://etfalert.substack.com/)

US share of global oil production rose from 15% in 2014 to 22% in 2024, while Russia and Saudi Arabia's shares declined, highlighting shifting global oil dynamics

The International Energy Agency projects Brent crude declining to **$59 per barrel** in Q4 2025, potentially hitting **$50 in early 2026**.

This environment favors integrated oil companies with low-cost production over pure exploration plays.

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## Charlie Kirk

The shocking assassination of conservative activist **Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University on September 10th** has sent shockwaves through the US

[![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/24/9d/249db85d-ffc7-4113-b57b-0505d666fa1d/content/images/2026/07/1b770b6f-7880-4a6a-9833-a3bb9d754e17_1500x1000.webp)](https://etfalert.substack.com/)

**Charlie Kirk speaks during a campaign rally for President Donald Trump on Aug. 23, 2024, in Glendale, Ariz. ([Rebecca Noble/Getty/People](https://people.com/thmb/BR7qoF8XzU23Ba9AxXjNhLRZ76M=/4000x0/filters:no%5Fupscale%28%29:max%5Fbytes%28150000%29:strip%5Ficc%28%29:focal%28759x148:761x150%29:format%28webp%29/charlie-kirk-2-091025-8c2d1b55f90e4fffbcb778ae2fc4c1c6.jpg?ref=etf-alert.ghost.io))**

This escalation in political violence underscores growing risks for companies with significant political exposure or polarizing positions.

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## The Bottom Line

**This moment demands strategic positioning across defensive sectors, technological innovation, and geopolitical beneficiaries.**

The paradigm is shifting. In this environment, portfolio diversification across defense ETFs, selective tech exposure, and energy transition plays offers optimal positioning for investors navigating an increasingly complex landscape.

**The defense spending supercycle isn't coming; it's here.**

Let’s answer the question: will you participate in the upside or watch from the sidelines?

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